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Energy and environment: Dynamics of energy mix in the energy transition

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Alternative Title:

  • Dynamics of energy transitions under changing socioeconomic, technological and climate conditions
  • Critical roles of energy mix in reaching emission reduction and energy security/availability/supply

Dynamics Analysis Methodology:

  • The guess: transition of energy can be explained as a dynamics process (is not statics). The test: historical data + scenario analysis:
  • Framing Scenario (Low cost/high carbon/coal, low emission/low carbon/renewable)
  • Strategy Development
  • Results Analysis

The Guess and The Test
the guess: medicine reduce plants growth
the test: test the effect of medice on plants

the guess: energy mix will be affected by output effect and energy intensity ref
the test: historical data of industry output, historical data of energy consumption / intensity

the guess: energy mix will be affected by supply disruption/dependency, diversification (Indriyanto)
the test: historical data of supply

the guess: energy mix will be affected by policitical, economy and technological (Strunz, 2014)

Reference:

  • Dynamics of energy transitions under changing socioeconomic, technological and climate conditions in Northwest Germany (Ruth et al 2015)
  • The critical role of the industrial sector in reaching long-term emission reduction, energy efficiency and renewable targets (Faiz et al 2016)

Illustrations:
energy-trend

graph-transition

mix

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

April 25, 2016 pada 5:07 pm

Ditulis dalam Science

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