Posts Tagged ‘Diagram’
Huff, ini diagram yang akan dipakai selama 2 tahun kedepan.
ARIS is one of most powerful Business Process Modelling (BPM) Tools, and luckily I have a chance to use ARIS Architect/Designer with University Edition. I got the license since 12 December 2016, and it will be expired next 12 June 2017.
At this moment, I have been using ARIS for one month, a short time, and I found that ARIS is really helpful for me in my research. My research basically is Energy Scenario analysis, so ARIS help me to visualize the complex interaction of Energy in Indonesia.
The framework that I used in align with ARIS is Multilevel Perspective (MLP) (Geels, 2002) which used to explain the energy transtion in Indonesia. This framework analyzes in three levels, Exogenous landscape, stable Regime and Niches of Innovation.
Here is some screenshot of on progress works with ARIS. So let see, I will keep updating the progress of my ARIS project.
What is the problem with Indonesia’s energy?
- Energy Balances, is unhealthy, in 2004 Net Oil Importer, in 2019 predicted will be Net Gas Importer
- Energy Transition, is toward high carbon economy
The sankey diagram created from http://sankeymatic.com/build/
Oil Production  Oil Energy
Oil Import  Oil Energy
Oil Energy Oil Export
Oil Energy  Domestic Consumption
Gas Production  Gas Energy
Gas Import  Gas Energy
Gas Energy  Gas Export
Gas Energy  Domestic Consumption
Coal Production  CoalEnergy
CoalEnergy  Domestic Consumption
CoalEnergy Coal Export
Biofuel Production  BioEnergy
BioEnergy  Domestic Consumption
BioEnergy Biofuel Export
Domestic Consumption  Domestic Coal
Domestic Consumption  Domestic Oil
Domestic Consumption  Domestic Gas
Oil  Export
Gas  Export
Coal  Export
Renewable  Export
Oil  Domestic
Gas  Domestic
Coal  Domestic
Renewable  Domestic
Energy Import  Domestic
Step 1: Understand historical Data (Use Technological transition perspective to explain)
Wasserman et al 2015, Strunz 2014, Solomon and Krushna 2011, Ruth et al 2015, Nye 2014, Li et al 2015, Fais et al 2016, EKINS et al 2011
“Despair not, spare your enemies not, for God is with us”
In 1621, Jan Pieterszoon Coen, founder of Batavia build the city from ash, for Dutch he is a hero, but for Indonesian he is a very bad person -at least as far that I know, and what history teacher teach us from age of 6 to 18. If Coen lives today, and he saw what Batavia has become… well, I think he must be proud, very proud.
Indonesia might be 4th largest country by population with (hopefully) promising 6% growth, but any Indonesian know that it was Jakarta the main engine of growth. It was Jakarta the 6th largest city in the world (TIME, 2011), it was Jakarta that has 16% GDP growth, it was Jakarta that has 15,000 population per Km2. Indonesia is about Jakarta, a strong argument where one also might argue that Jakarta is where 70% money circulated in Indonesia.
When Coen build Jakarta, sailing is the only technology that available and port is the only infrastructure. It was Daendels that build Anyer Panarukan Great Post Road in 1808 and lay foundation for Railway (1867), Coal, Oil and industrial revolution in Indonesia.
But the story of relationship between Indonesian and European is not everlasting. Geography is main factor, it was Japan (and of course US) that transform Indonesia in 1970s with large FDI, it was Japan that now Indonesian people favor Japan toward positive interaction. And even now we saw the rise of China, Korea Indonesia relationship growing better.
Well, I hope Coen can give me advise on this situation.
Check: Environment and Imperialism: Why Colonialism Still Matters, Murphy 2009
Energy can be explained by using two different perspectives. Energy as system can be explained using supply demand model (SDM), while energy as transition system can be explained by using technological transition (TT).
Energy from SDM Perspective
The use of energy system model might help to have better understanding on present and future demand supply interaction, energy environment interactions and energy system planning.
Energy from TT Perspective
From TT perspective by using MLP energy also can be explained. The counter argument of transitional perspective is on technological change perspective.
- Current Energy State, explained by Technological Transition (Multi Level Perspective)
- Impact of Energy Development, explained by using Energy Economics (Supply Demand Modelling)