Anjar Priandoyo

Simple Advice for Everyone

Posts Tagged ‘Diagram

Energy Transition Summary

leave a comment »

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

Februari 3, 2017 at 12:29 pm

Ditulis dalam Science

Tagged with ,

ARIS Architect/Designer – One month review

leave a comment »

ARIS is one of most powerful Business Process Modelling (BPM) Tools, and luckily I have a chance to use ARIS Architect/Designer with University Edition. I got the license since 12 December 2016, and it will be expired next 12 June 2017.

At this moment, I have been using ARIS for one month, a short time, and I found that ARIS is really helpful for me in my research. My research basically is Energy Scenario analysis, so ARIS help me to visualize the complex interaction of Energy in Indonesia.

The framework that I used in align with ARIS is Multilevel Perspective (MLP) (Geels, 2002) which used to explain the energy transtion in Indonesia. This framework analyzes in three levels, Exogenous landscape, stable Regime and Niches of Innovation.

Here is some screenshot of on progress works with ARIS. So let see, I will keep updating the progress of my ARIS project.

energy-scenario

energy-structure

organization-charts

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

Januari 12, 2017 at 12:37 pm

Ditulis dalam Science

Tagged with , ,

Energy Balances and Energy Transition: The Problems

leave a comment »

What is the problem with Indonesia’s energy?

  1. Energy Balances, is unhealthy, in 2004 Net Oil Importer, in 2019 predicted will be Net Gas Importer
  2. Energy Transition, is toward high carbon economy

indonesia-energy-balance

The sankey diagram created from http://sankeymatic.com/build/

sources:
‘Layer 1
Oil Production [100] Oil Energy
Oil Import [40] Oil Energy
Oil Energy [30]Oil Export
Oil Energy [110] Domestic Consumption

Gas Production [100] Gas Energy
Gas Import [10] Gas Energy
Gas Energy [50] Gas Export
Gas Energy [60] Domestic Consumption

Coal Production [100] CoalEnergy
CoalEnergy [30] Domestic Consumption
CoalEnergy [70]Coal Export

Biofuel Production [100] BioEnergy
BioEnergy [40] Domestic Consumption
BioEnergy [60]Biofuel Export

Domestic Consumption [100] Domestic Coal
Domestic Consumption [100] Domestic Oil
Domestic Consumption [40] Domestic Gas

‘Layer 2
Oil [60] Export
Gas [60] Export
Coal [60] Export
Renewable [60] Export
Oil [30] Domestic
Gas [40] Domestic
Coal [40] Domestic
Renewable [40] Domestic
Energy Import [100] Domestic

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

April 24, 2016 at 11:01 am

Ditulis dalam Science

Tagged with ,

Indonesia’s Energy Transition: Historical Perspective, Current Status, Future Outlook

leave a comment »

Step 1: Understand historical Data (Use Technological transition perspective to explain)
Wasserman et al 2015, Strunz 2014, Solomon and Krushna 2011, Ruth et al 2015, Nye 2014, Li et al 2015, Fais et al 2016, EKINS et al 2011

historical

Step 2: Perform current state analysis (Use energy modelling / LEAP)
energy2

greenhouse-world

Step 3: Analysis future scenario (Use scenario modelling / LEAP)
scenario-leap

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

April 20, 2016 at 6:41 pm

Ditulis dalam Science

Tagged with ,

What is Research

leave a comment »

saunder-research-onion

Research is about philosophies and approaches.
Some people doing basic research, while some others doing applied research. I stand up for applied research.

Image from Saunders 2009 Research Method

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

Februari 23, 2016 at 10:15 pm

Ditulis dalam Science

Tagged with ,

Why Java is Future of Indonesia and why Jakarta is the ticking bomb

leave a comment »

indonesia-population-density-gdp

“Despair not, spare your enemies not, for God is with us”

In 1621, Jan Pieterszoon Coen, founder of Batavia build the city from ash, for Dutch he is a hero, but for Indonesian he is a very bad person -at least as far that I know, and what history teacher teach us from age of 6 to 18. If Coen lives today, and he saw what Batavia has become… well, I think he must be proud, very proud.

Indonesia might be 4th largest country by population with (hopefully) promising 6% growth, but any Indonesian know that it was Jakarta the main engine of growth. It was Jakarta the 6th largest city in the world (TIME, 2011), it was Jakarta that has 16% GDP growth, it was Jakarta that has 15,000 population per Km2. Indonesia is about Jakarta, a strong argument where one also might argue that Jakarta is where 70% money circulated in Indonesia.

Geography Determinism
When Coen build Jakarta, sailing is the only technology that available and port is the only infrastructure. It was Daendels that build Anyer Panarukan Great Post Road in 1808 and lay foundation for Railway (1867), Coal, Oil and industrial revolution in Indonesia.

But the story of relationship between Indonesian and European is not everlasting. Geography is main factor, it was Japan (and of course US) that transform Indonesia in 1970s with large FDI, it was Japan that now Indonesian people favor Japan toward positive interaction. And even now we saw the rise of China, Korea Indonesia relationship growing better.

Well, I hope Coen can give me advise on this situation.

Check: Environment and Imperialism: Why Colonialism Still Matters, Murphy 2009

Ref, Ref, Ref, Ref, Ref, Ref, Ref, Ref, Ref, Ref, Ref

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

Februari 23, 2016 at 12:50 pm

Ditulis dalam People

Tagged with ,

New Perspective on Energy Environment with Different Population and Source of Energy

leave a comment »

technological-transition
Energy can be explained by using two different perspectives. Energy as system can be explained using supply demand model (SDM), while energy as transition system can be explained by using technological transition (TT).

Energy from SDM Perspective
The use of energy system model might help to have better understanding on present and future demand supply interaction, energy environment interactions and energy system planning.

Energy from TT Perspective
From TT perspective by using MLP energy also can be explained. The counter argument of transitional perspective is on technological change perspective.

  1. Current Energy State, explained by Technological Transition (Multi Level Perspective)
  2. Impact of Energy Development, explained by using Energy Economics (Supply Demand Modelling)

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

Februari 20, 2016 at 7:45 pm

Ditulis dalam Science

Tagged with ,