Anjar Priandoyo

Catatan Setiap Hari

Posts Tagged ‘Thesis

What is it all about

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Is it about environment science, in this case is emission analysis. Emission analysis can be in area of energy system where it using EI. The emphasis should be on characteristics of energy system (which high use of biomass). Emission analysis can be emphasis in the possible option that can be used.

Ch 1 General (Key Concept)

  • Emission Analysis, A method to capture, measure and manage emission. Problem: Analysis not fully understood
  • Environment Impact, Emission, Health, Crop. Problem: Environmental impact of energy development is not understood. Problem in energy development Impact of energy scenario such as clean energy (gas) and renewable energy (biofuel) is not captured.

Ch 2 (emission) Analysis of energy system in Indonesia using EI

  • Background? Energy system in Indonesia is indicated by the use of tradional biomass. This traditional biomass usage is often not captured in the EI. The portrait of energy system in terms of emission status is not understood.
  • Gap? latest study is not including rice paddy, wastewater handling and traditional brick kilns production
  • Methodology? EI, calculating total emission

Ch 3 (emission) Analysis of energy scenario in Indonesia using LEAP

  • Background? Energy scenario, option apa yang indonesia punya e.g gas vs renewable
  • Gap? latest study is not including the impact on human in terms of death and human health and the crop loss
  • Methodology? LEAP, comparing each scenario

Ch 4 (social) Analysis of energy transition in Indonesia using MLP

  • Background? transition into clean and renewable energy is priority for many developing countries.
  • Gap? latest study is not capturing the renewable energy transition in Indonesia
  • Methodology? MLP, collecting
  • Question:- How do regime actors view Indonesia’s future energy mix? What is the enablers and obstacle of energy transition in Indonesia? How energy and environment related? What is likeliness of scenario from actor’s point of view
  • Result? layering MLP in Indonesia + preference to clean energy

Ch 5 Analysis of energy in Indonesia using integrated (repetitive) approach (A compilation of 2,3,4)

  • Background
  • Gap? cara mengintegrate yang paling efektif
  • Methodology? repetitive
  • Question: How is long term energy planning towards optimal energy mix and reduced emissions. How is an energy system and certain environmental emissions targets in Indonesia characterized and related? How is energy scenario for the future energy system to be investigated and measured for certain implication? What is the best framework to evaluate energy scenario in regards with their environmental impacts?
  • Results? What is the most likely implemented (repeat interview + LEAP)

Notes:
Main Question: How is long term energy planning towards optimal energy mix and reduced emissions
Energy Transition: How do regime actors view Indonesia’s future energy mix? What is the enablers and obstacle of energy transition in Indonesia? How energy and environment related?
Impact Analysis: What is the impact of energy development and air pollution for human health and environment?
Scenario Analysis: What is the optimal energy scenario for Indonesia?

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

Juni 2, 2017 at 9:23 am

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Choosing the right keyword

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Energy System (n): Set of energy sources, technologies, transmission, distribution, storage and
management systems that we use to produce the energy services that we need (Boyle). All components related to the production, conversion, delivery, and use of energy (IPCC)

Emission Inventory (v): Process accounting (recording, documenting) of the amount of pollutants discharged into the atmosphere.

Energy Scenario (n): Set of possible future event

Scenario Analysis (v): Process of analyzing possible future events by considering alternative possible outcomes

Energy Modeling (v): Process of building (representing) energy systems (in order to analyze them)

Air Quality Modelling (v): Process of building air quality systems (condition), where Emission Inventory is an input for Air Quality Modelling

“Analysis of energy scenario using using energy model” >
“Analysis of energy system using using energy model” >
“Analysis of energy system using using scenario planning” >

“Analysis of energy system using emission inventory”
“Analysis of energy transition using multi-level perspective”

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

Mei 17, 2017 at 6:52 pm

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Hope it works

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“Analysis of energy system using emission inventory” berarti harus describe energy system-nya sebagai supply and demand of energy (production and consumption), this system should be explained in terms of emission for each components. Emission inventory should be explained as process of collecting something in specific taxonomy.

“Analysis of energy scenario using using energy model” berarti harus describe energy scenario-nya sebagai renewable scenario and clean energy scenario, this two option should be explained in terms of ghg for each options. Energy model should be explained as a process that breakdown something (energy supply(production)/demand(sectors) in specific taxonomy

“Analysis of energy transition using multi-level perspective” berarti harus describe energy transition-nya sebagai LPG transition, biofuel, geothermal transition. This three option should be explainded in terms of doer (institution), policy, pattern of changes. MLP should be explained as concept in specific taxonomy.

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

Mei 17, 2017 at 1:57 pm

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Economist vs Analyst writing styles

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Yesterday, I made some notes on the difference between Reporter (write objective factual writing) and Scientist (write subjective scientific opinion writing).

However, today I made another notes on the difference among scientist, which specifically between economics scientiest (economist) and energy scientiest (analyst) here is the comparison:

Analyst
Indonesia is a country with abundant natural resources. Indonesia has high energy consumption growth, but low in energy utilization per capita and low energy utilization.

Total Primary Energy Supply (TPES) growing with growth rate of 2.52% between 2002 and 2012, while Total Final Consumption (TCF) annual growth rate of 2.49% in the same period.

The biggest problem in this situation is sustainability. Dependency of fossil fuel will harm the environment. The solution is (always) shift to cleaner energy source. The next question is which type of energy (coal, crude oil), which sector (residential, transportation) that should be shift (bottom up)

Economist
Indonesia is developing country and the energy development is crucial in overall country’s development. From economy perspective, energy has significant contribution to economy. Energy and natural resources share of export is increase from 24% to 35% in between 2002 and 2012. This growth indicated by shift from declining oil and gas export from 15% to 14% and significant growth of coal export from 3% to 12% and palm oil export from 3% to 8%. Indonesia average GDP growth rate of 5.7% between 2000 and 2012.

The biggest problem in this situation is sustainability. Declining oil production will decrease the buying power, increase inflation. The solution is (always) market liberalization. The next question is which industry, which energy sector (upstream, midstream, downstream) that should be policied (top down)

Wow. Good job.

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

Februari 27, 2017 at 12:55 pm

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Science Statement vs Fact Statement (Newspaper)

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Baru paham bedanya. Yang dibutuhkan adalah scientific statement, bukan data factual semodel koran atau laporan lembaga IEA/ESDM. Scientific statement ini bukan kejar target, satu kalimat pun tidak apa, karena tujuannya adalah menyampaikan ide/opini ilmiah.

Scientific Statement
The energy development in Indonesia is characterised by a high dependency on coal (Othman et al. 2009) and low renewable utilization (Hasan, Mahlia, and Nur 2012). As a developing country, Indonesia has features such as a large gap between rich and poor, big urban-rural differences in energy use/demand and use of traditional biomass fuel that must all be reflected in any energy modelling (Bhattacharyya and Timilsina 2010) for example on specific requirement of energy supply, energy potential, and environment issues (Hasan, Mahlia, and Nur 2012).

Factual Statement
Indonesia producing 400+ Mton of coal, where around 60+ Mton use domestically, which around 40+ Mton is for power plant (IEA). Geothermal in Indonesia is around 7% of energy mix estimated of 1000+MW (IEA). In Indonesia, Biomass accounted for more than 20% of energy mix, where mainly used in rural area (IEA/ESDM).

Written by Anjar Priandoyo

Februari 15, 2017 at 2:58 pm

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